It was expected, Hodges means to say, that another party would benefit from dissatisfaction with Conservative policy, but that UKIP would reap these benefits was not expected.
However, that is not what he actually says:
Two and a half years ago the conventional wisdom in Westminster was that at this stage in the parliament the cuts would be biting, the Coalition would be as popular as typhoid, and Labour would reaping the whirlwind. And that wisdom has been proved broadly correct. With the exception it’s the Tweed Army, not the Red Army, that are the temporary beneficiaries.(Tweed is supposed to be the preferred clothing material of UKIP supporters: sturdy, old fashioned and very British. At Oxford in my day the Tridentine Mass enthusiasts were said to believe in "salvation by tweed alone".)
Hodges thinks that reaping the whirlwind is something you want to do.
The prophet Hosea (8:7), who coined the phrase, would beg to differ:
For they sow the wind, and they shall reap the whirlwind. The standing grain has no heads, it shall yield no meal; if it were to yield, aliens would devour it.
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